Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $28,818$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.13 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{40,459.5}{1 + 10^{-0.054 (t - 44.0)}}\) (asimptote \(40,459.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,704$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(27.9 \times 10^{0.033t}\) (doubling rate \(9.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16,057.2}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 81.7)}}\) (asimptote \(16,057.2\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $23,681$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $61,847$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(795 \times 10^{0.034t}\) (doubling rate \(8.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{112,864.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 54.5)}}\) (asimptote \(112,864.0\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,714$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(34.9 \times 10^{0.035t}\) (doubling rate \(8.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,981.4}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 46.5)}}\) (asimptote \(2,981.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $41,121$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $146,894$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(3.02 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.032t}\) (doubling rate \(9.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{440,246.4}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 61.4)}}\) (asimptote \(440,246.4\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,017$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(249 \times 10^{0.034t}\) (doubling rate \(8.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18,764.6}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 47.5)}}\) (asimptote \(18,764.6\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $77,580$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $25,972$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(998 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{62,722.0}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 65.2)}}\) (asimptote \(62,722.0\))
Start date 2020-03-23 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $294$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(23.4 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{338.3}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 32.3)}}\) (asimptote \(338.3\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $13,518$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,266$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(40 \times 10^{0.034t}\) (doubling rate \(8.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{15,631.3}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 73.5)}}\) (asimptote \(15,631.3\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $106$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(8.44 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,274.8}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 86.9)}}\) (asimptote \(2,274.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,923$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,051$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(492 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20,100.6}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 55.1)}}\) (asimptote \(20,100.6\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $428$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(34.6 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{535.7}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 33.0)}}\) (asimptote \(535.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,199$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,611$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(550 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,762.3}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 38.2)}}\) (asimptote \(6,762.3\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $293$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(30.6 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{360.5}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 32.6)}}\) (asimptote \(360.5\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,659$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $694$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(177 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{651.9}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 20.1)}}\) (asimptote \(651.9\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $18$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(4.01 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20.9}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 21.6)}}\) (asimptote \(20.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $170$ on 2020-05-08
